| 新陈代谢离散灰色预测MDGM(1,1)模型及其应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 池自英,池彭军.新陈代谢离散灰色预测MDGM(1,1)模型及其应用[J].数学的实践与认识,2009,39(1). |
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| 作者姓名： | 池自英 池彭军 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 安阳工学院,理学部,河南,安阳,455000
2. 安阳实验高级中学,河南,安阳,455000 |
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| 基金项目： | 江西省高校人文社会科学规划项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 在离散灰色预测DGM(1,1)模型的基础上,提出了新陈代谢离散灰色预测M DGM(1,1)模型,即:对原始数据序列采用新陈代谢的方式逐次建立相应的DGM(1,1)模型,并把该模型用于江西省旅游收入的中长期预测,最后进行了精度检验.结果表明:新陈代谢离散灰色预测M DGM(1,1)模型预测精度较高,可作为中长期预测的工具.
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| 关 键 词： | 离散灰色预测DGM(1 1)模型 新陈代谢离散灰色预测MDGM(1 1)模型 旅游收入 |
Metabolism Discrete Grey Forecasting Model and Its Application |
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| CHI Zi-ying,CHI Peng-jun.Metabolism Discrete Grey Forecasting Model and Its Application[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2009,39(1). |
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| Authors: | CHI Zi-ying CHI Peng-jun |
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| Abstract: | Based on the discrete grey forecasting model,the metabolism discrete grey forecasting model was proposed in the paper.In other words,focusing on the initial date series,the different discrete grey forecasting models were established one by one accordingly by applying the pattern of metabolism.And then,the tourism income of Jiangxi province was predicted in medium and long-term by applying the metabolism discrete grey forecasting model.Last,the precision of the model was examined.The results show that the precision of the model is comparatively higher and the model can be used as a tool for the medium and long-term predictions. |
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| Keywords: | discrete grey forecasting model metabolism discrete grey forecasting model tourism income |
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