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基于梯形模糊综合分析法的弹药维修安全风险评估
引用本文:姜欣明,罗兴柏,张玉令,许凯.基于梯形模糊综合分析法的弹药维修安全风险评估[J].数学的实践与认识,2011,41(21).
作者姓名:姜欣明  罗兴柏  张玉令  许凯
作者单位:1. 军械工程学院弹药工程系,河北石家庄,050003
2. 中国人民解放军78465部队,四川广元,628000
摘    要:针对弹药维修的复杂性和特殊性,提出了一种基于梯形模糊综合分析法的弹药维修安全风险评估的方法.从环境、管理、人员、设备和物资等5个方面考虑,建立了弹药维修安全风险评估指标体系;鉴于人判断的模糊性和判断矩阵一致性检验要求,采用了基于梯形模糊数期望值的层次分析法确定指标的权重系数;建立了基于梯形模糊综合分析法的弹药维修安全风险评估模型.通过对某弹药维修工厂的实例分析证明,所建立的弹药安全风险评估模型合理、科学、有效,能够为制定相应的法规提供理论的支撑.

关 键 词:弹药维修  风险评估  梯形模糊数  层次分析法  综合评价

Research on Ammunition Maintenance Safety Risk Assessment Based on the Trapezoidal Fuzzy Comprehensive Analytical Method
JIANG Xin-ming,LUO Xing-bai,ZHANG Yu-ling,XU Kai.Research on Ammunition Maintenance Safety Risk Assessment Based on the Trapezoidal Fuzzy Comprehensive Analytical Method[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2011,41(21).
Authors:JIANG Xin-ming  LUO Xing-bai  ZHANG Yu-ling  XU Kai
Institution:JIANG Xin-ming~1,LUO Xing-bai~1,ZHANG Yu-ling~1,XU Kai~2 (1.Department of Ammuniion Engineering,Ordnance Engineering College,Shijiazhuang 050003,China) (2.Unit No.78465 of PLA,Guanyuan 68000,China)
Abstract:Aiming to the complicacy and particularity of the ammunition maintenance,a new method which based on the trapezoidal comprehensive analytical method for assessing the safety risk of the ammunition maintenance is put forward.An index system which consists of five aspects including environment,management,personnel,equipment and materiel for the ammunition maintenance safety risk assessment is established in this paper;considering the fuzziness of human's judgment and the consistency test requirement of judgme...
Keywords:ammunition maintenance  risk assessment  trapezoidal fuzzy numbers  analytic hierarchy process  comprehensive assessment  
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