| 广东省能源消费的ARIMA模型预测分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 朱艳科.广东省能源消费的ARIMA模型预测分析[J].数学的实践与认识,2012,42(3):14-18. |
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| 作者姓名： | 朱艳科 |
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| 作者单位： | 华南农业大学理学院应用数学系,广东广州,510640 |
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| 摘 要： | 对1985-2008年广东省能源消费总量数据序列进行分析,建立了ARIMA(2,2,2)模型,检验结果表明,该模型对原始数据序列有较好的拟合效果,模型的预测效果良好,可用于短期外推预测.
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| 关 键 词： | ARIMA模型 广东省能源消费 预测 |
Forecast of Guangdong Province's Energy Consumption Based on ARIMA Model |
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| ZHU Yan-ke.Forecast of Guangdong Province's Energy Consumption Based on ARIMA Model[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2012,42(3):14-18. |
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| Authors: | ZHU Yan-ke |
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| Institution: | ZHU Yan-ke (Department of Applied Mathematics,College of Science,South China Agriculture University,Guangzhou 510640,China) |
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| Abstract: | The ARIMA model is established to analyze Guangdong Province ’s Energy consumption from 1985 to 2008.The analysis shows that ARIMA(2,2,2) is efficiency.Based on this model,a short time forecast and conclusions are made of. |
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| Keywords: | ARIMA model guangdong province ’s energy consumption forecast |
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