出口对中国就业的影响分析-欧美日对比分析

欧盟、美国和日本作为中国的三大贸易伙伴,它们与中国间的贸易对中国的就业有着重要的影响,利用区分加工贸易的非竞争型投入占用产出模型,对比分析了2007年中国分别向所有地区、欧盟、美国、日本和世界其他地区出口1000美元货物对中国就业的拉动作用;并结合SDA方法分析了中国出口对就业拉动效率在时间上的变迁和地区间的差别.分析发现2002年到2007年,出口对就业的拉动效率不断下降,其中就业系数的下降是主要原因.中国对美国的出口对就业的拉动效率最低,而对日本的出口对就业的拉动效率最高.

The Effect of Exports on China's Employment- an Comparative Analysis on European Union, United States and Japan

European Union,United States and Japan as the three largest trading partners of China,the trade between them and China had played really important role in China's employment.This paper estimated employment generated by China's US$ 1000 exports to these three areas and rest of world respectively,using non-competitive input occupancy output model capturing processing trade.We also compared different influences of China's the exports to different areas in different years,and decomposed the difference into several parts by SDA method.According to the estimates,employment generated by per unit of China's exports has decreased from 2002 to 2007,which is mainly caused by the decline of empolyment coefficients.Besides,China's exports to United States own the lowest efficiency for employment,while that of Japan own the highest efficiency for employment.