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金融危机对港口外贸吞吐量影响的干预分析
引用本文:朱宗元,王秋霞.金融危机对港口外贸吞吐量影响的干预分析[J].数学的实践与认识,2010,40(7).
作者姓名:朱宗元  王秋霞
作者单位:1. 泰山医学院,管理学院,山东,泰安,271016
2. 曲阜师范大学,数学科学学院,山东,曲阜,273165
摘    要:通过对我国外贸吞吐量2001年1月至2009年6月的时间序列数据进行分析,建立干预分析模型,研究金融危机对我国外贸的影响,结果显示该模型具有较好的模拟与预测效果.

关 键 词:金融危机  外贸吞吐量  干预分析  预测

The Intervention Analysis of Impact on Foreign Trade Throughput Resulting from Financial Crisis
ZHU Zong-yuan,WANG Qiu-xia.The Intervention Analysis of Impact on Foreign Trade Throughput Resulting from Financial Crisis[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2010,40(7).
Authors:ZHU Zong-yuan  WANG Qiu-xia
Institution:ZHU Zong-yuan~1,WANG Qiu-xia~2 (1.School of management,Taishan Medical University,Taian 277016,China) (2.School of Mathematics,Qufu Normal University,Qufu 273165,China)
Abstract:In this paper,we analysis China's foreign trade throughput time-series data from January 2001 to June 2009.intervention analysis model were made to study the impact of the financial crisis on China's foreign trade.The result showed that the model has good simulation and prediction.
Keywords:financial crisis  foreign trade throughput  intervention analysis  forecast  
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