| 部分线性模型在北京市税收分析和预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙志华,刘金祎,贾超华.部分线性模型在北京市税收分析和预测中的应用[J].数学的实践与认识,2011,41(4). |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙志华 刘金祎 贾超华 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国科学院研究生院,数学科学学院,北京,100049
2. 北京航空航天大学,数学与系统科学学院,北京,100191 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国科学院研究生院院长基金; 中国博士后基金以; 国家自然科学基金青年基金(10901162); 天元基金(10926073,10626002) |
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| 摘 要： | 首先运用主成分分析方法对北京市经济指标数据进行降维处理,然后基于降维后的数据拟合部分线性模型.将拟合后的模型对2008年北京市税收进行预测,所得结果优于常用的逐步线性回归分析方法的预测结果.
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| 关 键 词： | 北京税收 预测 主成分分析 部分线性模型 |
The Application of Partial Linear Model in Analysis and Forecast of Revenue in Beijing |
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| SUN Zhi-hua,LIU Jin-yi,JIA Chao-hua.The Application of Partial Linear Model in Analysis and Forecast of Revenue in Beijing[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2011,41(4). |
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| Authors: | SUN Zhi-hua LIU Jin-yi JIA Chao-hua |
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| Institution: | SUN Zhi-hua~1,LIU Jin-yi~2,JIA Chao-hua~(2*) (1.Department of Mathematics,Graduate University,Chinese Academy of Science,Beijing 100049,China) (2.School of Mathematics and Systems Science,Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Beijing 100190,China) |
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| Abstract: | The paper first reduces the dimension of the economic data of Beijing by principal component analysis method.Then based on the dimension-reduced data,a partial linear model is applied in forecast the revenue of Beijing in 2008.The results show a great advantage over those by stepwise linear regression analysis. |
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| Keywords: | revenue of beijing predication principal component analysis partial linear model |
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