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三标度AHP法在核应急决策中的应用
引用本文:孔衍,陈霁恒,张锦,任鑫,马丽.三标度AHP法在核应急决策中的应用[J].数学的实践与认识,2013(9):109-114.
作者姓名:孔衍  陈霁恒  张锦  任鑫  马丽
作者单位:海军蚌埠士官学校 机械系;镇江船艇学院 船艇动力指挥系;海军医学研究所 防护医学研究室
基金项目:总后勤部科研基金(AWS10B026);海军医学研究所基金资助项目(12HY21)
摘    要:核事故发生时,采取正确的应急决策可以减轻事故的后果和危害.考虑到核应急决策的多目标性和模糊性,并针对传统AHP法的不足,利用三标度AHP法建立了多层次应急决策评估模型.模型较大程度的减小了评价的主观性,具有操作性强、稳定性好的特点.将模型与模糊层次模型计算结果进行比较,二者对方案的优劣排序是一致的.但模型在对最优方案的取舍上分辨率较高,对核应急决策具有实际的指导意义.

关 键 词:核应急  多目标决策  AHP法  三标度

Application of Three-scale AHP Method in Nuclear Emergency Decision Making
KONG Yan,CHEN Ji-heng,ZHANG Jin,REN Xin,MA Li.Application of Three-scale AHP Method in Nuclear Emergency Decision Making[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2013(9):109-114.
Authors:KONG Yan  CHEN Ji-heng  ZHANG Jin  REN Xin  MA Li
Institution:1.Department of Machine Engineering,Naval Petty Officer Academy,Bengbu 233012,China) (2.Department of Water Craft Power,Zhenjinag Waterdraft College,Zhenjiang 212003,China) (3.Medical Protection Research Laboratory,Naval Medical Research Institute,Shanghai 200433,China)
Abstract:When a nuclear accident occurs,a right emergency decision is adopted to alleviate effect and harm of the accident.Given the characteristic of multi-objects and illegibility in nuclear emergency decision,and aimed at the deficiency of the traditional AHP method,threescale AHP method was used to establish multilayer model for nuclear emergency decision.The model can largely reduce the subjectivity of estimation,and has the characteristic of good manipulation and stability.The calculation results of the model and fuzzy hierarchy model are compared,and the two orders for scheme are identical.However,the model's resolving power for the best scheme is higher,which is significant for nuclear emergency decision-making.
Keywords:nuclear emergency  multi-objects decision  AHP method  three scale
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