| 基于ARIMA模型的山西省能源消费的预测分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 翟明娟.基于ARIMA模型的山西省能源消费的预测分析[J].数学的实践与认识,2013,43(7). |
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| 作者姓名： | 翟明娟 |
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| 作者单位： | 长治学院数学系,山西长治,046011 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过对1985-2010年山西省能源消费总量数据序列的分析,建立了ARIMA(1,1,1)模型.结果显示:模型对原始数据的拟合程度较好,模型的预测误差小,可用于中短期预测.
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| 关 键 词： | ARIMA模型 山西省能源消费 预测 |
Predict of ShanXi Province's Energy Consumption Based on ARIMA Model |
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| ZHAI Ming-juan.Predict of ShanXi Province's Energy Consumption Based on ARIMA Model[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2013,43(7). |
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| Authors: | ZHAI Ming-juan |
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| Abstract: | The ARIMA(1,1,1)is established to analyze Shanxi province's Energy consumption from 1985 to 2010.The results show:the model is efficiency and can be used for middle or short-term prediction. |
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| Keywords: | ARIMA model Shanxi province's energy consumption prediction |
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