江苏经济社会关联性的SAM乘数分析

通过江苏社会核算矩阵(SAM)乘数分解,研究了江苏经济社会关联联系.主要研究结论:第一,要素和部门账户受到外生冲击时,对其它账户产生的交叉影响大于经过系统循环后对自身的影响;第二,作为基础性产业的农业、建筑业等对江苏具有较大的影响力,以旅游业、餐饮业以及一些社会服务业为代表的第三产业对经济发展正发挥着龙头拉动作用;第三,农业产出、土地外资本收入和农村居民收入的提高对非技术人员要素收入的依赖性较强;第四,技术人员要素初始投入的增加对城镇居民收入的提高具有正向效应.

SAM Multiplier Analysis on the Relationship between Economy and Society of Jiangsu Province of China

Based on Jiangsu social accounting matrix(SAM) decomposed multiplier analysis,this paper studies the relationship between economy and society of Jiangsu.The main conclusions are as follows: Firstly,when the accounts of factors and institutions are shocked exogenously,the crossed effects to other accounts are larger than the effects to themselves after the system′s circulation;Secondly,the basic industries,such as agriculture,construction etc.have larger influences on Jiangsu.Tertiary industries,delegated by touring,food services and some social services,are playing great role in economic development;Thirdly,the increase of agriculture output,non-land capital income and rural residents′ income mainly depend on factors income of unskilled persons;Finally,increases of factors original input of skilled persons have positive effects on the advance of urban residents′ income.