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飞机退役时限及补充数量的预测研究
引用本文:王莉莉,陈云翔.飞机退役时限及补充数量的预测研究[J].数学的实践与认识,2009,39(21).
作者姓名:王莉莉  陈云翔
作者单位:空军工程大学工程学院,西安,710038
摘    要:飞机的退役是航空装备管理中的重要问题之一.为科学合理地确定飞机退役时限,针对部队飞机使用情况,以某型飞机为例,对飞机的剩余寿命进行详细分析,应用统计学方法,探讨了飞机退役时限和数量的变化规律,在此基础上建立了飞机补充数量预测模型.并结合空军装备发展的实际,对飞机使用过程中的更新换代问题进行了探讨.

关 键 词:飞机  退役时限  寿命分布  剩余寿命  预测

Study to Forecast Retire Time Limit and Supplement Quantity of Aircraft
WANG Li-li,CHEN Yun-xiang.Study to Forecast Retire Time Limit and Supplement Quantity of Aircraft[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2009,39(21).
Authors:WANG Li-li  CHEN Yun-xiang
Abstract:The retired of aircraft is one of the importance question in aviation materiel management. In order to determine retire time limit of aircraft scientific and reasonable, aimed at aircraft use situation in the army, take a certain type aircraft as an example, aircraft residual life is analyzed detailed. The method of statistics is applied to inquire into the change regular of aircraft retire time limit and quantity. The models of aircraft supplement quantity forecast is built, Combine the practice of air force materiel development, the paper have a discuss on the renew and replacement during the aircraft use.
Keywords:aircraft  retire time limit  life distribute  residual life  forecast
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