我国城乡居民消费与经济增长区域差异性的实证分析

遴选1996-2012年我国(除重庆、港、澳、台外)30个省(市)城镇和农村居民消费支出及国内生产总值的面板数据,基于非参数核估计方法,建立固定效应半参数面板数据模型,对我国东、中、西部城乡居民消费与经济增长关系的区域差异性进行实证分析.计算显示,运用半参数面板数据模型显著提高了估计的精度.分析结果表明,不论是城镇居民消费还是农村居民消费,对经济增长的促进作用均是东部高于中部、中部高于西部;且农村居民消费对经济增长的促进作用又大于城镇居民消费.

An Empirical Analysis of the Regional Differences between Urban and Rural Household Consumption and Economic Growth

In this paper,to aim to investigate the regional differences about residents' consumption and economic growth between the urban and rural regions,we establish fixed effect semi-parametric econometrics model by using of nonparametric kernel estimation method based on the urban and rural household consumption expenditure and gross domestic product data of 30 provinces in China during 1996—2011.The results show that the estimation accuracy of the semi-parametric econometrics model is improved significantly.The conclusions are as follows:The order of positive influence of household consumption to economic growth is the eastern,the central and the western regions both in the urban and rural areas.The rural household consumption is more important to the economic growth than the urban household consumption.