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江苏省金融发展、财政支出对经济增长的影响分析
引用本文:刘强.江苏省金融发展、财政支出对经济增长的影响分析[J].数学的实践与认识,2014(18).
作者姓名:刘强
作者单位:淮海工学院商学院;
基金项目:淮海工学院2012年哲学社会科学课题(S2012005)
摘    要:根据江苏省1990-2011年的历史数据,运用VAR模型对江苏省金融发展、财政支出与经济增长的关系进行实证分析,结果表明,金融发展、财政支出与经济增长存在双向因果关系,二者与经济增长之间存在长期交互关系,经过脉冲响应分析和方差分解显示:短期内,江苏省金融发展对经济增长呈现负的冲击,财政支出对经济增长影响不明显,长期内,二者对经济增长呈现明显的正向冲击,金融发展、财政支出对经济增长的平均贡献率分别为17%和25%.并据此结论提出相应的建议.

关 键 词:金融发展  财政支出  经济增长  VAR模型

Analysis of the Influence of Financial Development and Fiscal Expenditure to Economic Growth on Jiang Su Province
Abstract:Based on VAR model,Influence of financial development and fiscal expenditure to economic growth of Jiangsu province is investigated using sample datum from 1990 to2011.the results indicate that The financial development,fiscal expenditure and economic growth exists bidirectional causality and long-term interactive relationship.The results of impulse response function and variance decomposition show that:In the short term,the financial development in Jiangsu province present negative impact on economic growth,the impact of fiscal expenditure to economic growth is not obvious,in the long term,both present obvious positive impact on economic growth,the average contribution rates of the financial development and fiscal expenditure to economic growth are 17%and 25%.And put forward corresponding Suggestions on the conclusion.
Keywords:financial development  fiscal expenditure  economic growth  VAR model
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