基于演化博弈的低碳物流政府监管策略研究

政府制定适合的政策是实现低碳物流的必要手段.构建了物流企业、政府和消费者三方演化博弈模型,分析了稳定策略及满足条件,运用MATLAB进行仿真分析,并在此基础上构建混合回归模型进行仿真和实证分析.研究表明:1)物流企业策略的选择与政府研发力度、建设力度和惩罚力度均有关系.2)政府的研发和惩罚力度主要影响物流企业是否低碳;...

Research on Low-Carbon Logistics Government Supervision Strategy Based on Evolutionary Game

The government’s formulation of appropriate policies is a necessary means to realize low-carbon logistics.This paper constructs a tripartite evolutionary game model of logistics enterprises,government and consumers,analyzes stable strategies and satisfying conditions,uses MATLAB for simulation analysis,and builds a hybrid regression model on this basis for simulation and empirical analysis.The research shows that:1) The choice of logistics enterprise strategy is related to the government’s R&D intensity,construction intensity and punishment intensity.2) The government’s R&D and penalties mainly affect whether logistics companies are low-carbon;construction efforts mainly affect whether consumers consume,and then through consumers,logistics companies are affected.3) Active government supervision is a necessary guarantee for logistics companies to implement low-carbon strategies,but it is not a sufficient condition.