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Are solar panels commodities? A Bayesian hierarchical approach to detecting quality differences and asymmetric information
Institution:1. School of Business, Stevens Institute of Technology, 1 Castle Point Terrace, Hoboken, NJ 07030, USA;2. Lally School of Management, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, 110 8th Street, Pittsburgh Building, Troy, NY 12180, USA;3. Division of Economic and Risk Analysis, US Securities and Exchange Commission, 100 F St NE, Washington DC 20549, USA;4. Department of Electrical, Computer & Systems Engineering, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute, Jonsson Engineering Center 6048, Troy, NY 12180, USA;1. College of Auditing and Evaluation, Nanjing Audit University, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, 211815, China;2. Schulich School of Business, York University, Toronto, Ontario M3J 1P3, Canada;3. Foisie Business School, Worcester Polytechnic Institute, Worcester, MA 01609, USA;1. Carey Business School, Johns Hopkins University, 100 International Drive, Baltimore, MD 21202, United States;2. Department of Information Systems and Business Analytics, Florida International University, Miami, FL 33199, United States;1. Leiden University Mathematical Institute, Niels Bohrweg 1, 2333 CA, Leiden, NL, UK;2. Department of Management Science, Center for Transportation and Logistics, Lancaster University Management School, Bailrigg, Lancaster LA1 4YX, UK;1. Department of Finance, National Central University, Taiwan;2. Department of Finance, National Taiwan University, Taiwan;3. Department of International Business, National Taiwan University, Taiwan;4. Chinese Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, China;1. Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences, Tehran North Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran;2. School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, College of Science, University of Tehran, Enghelab Avenue, Tehran, Iran
Abstract:Solar panels should not be considered commodities. Considerable quality differences, as measured directly by degradation of production over time, are found between manufacturers. I test two implications from the theory of asymmetric information of quality and find: (1) Solar power systems with high-information third-party owners display higher quality than host-owned systems. (2) Furthermore, with a 85% probability, the price of solar panels that are owned by high-information owners are more highly correlated to quality. Methodologically, the article demonstrates a novel application of Bayesian hierarchical regression models that are increasingly popular in operations research and the decision sciences.
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