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重尾非线性自回归模型自加权M-估计的渐近分布
引用本文:傅可昂,丁丽,李君巧.重尾非线性自回归模型自加权M-估计的渐近分布[J].数学物理学报(A辑),2020(2):475-483.
作者姓名:傅可昂  丁丽  李君巧
作者单位:浙江工商大学统计与数学学院
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(11971432);浙江省自然科学基金(LY17A010004);浙江省一流学科A类(浙江工商大学统计学)。
摘    要:考虑非线性自回归模型xt=f(xt-1,…,xt-p,θ)+∈t,其中θ为q维未知参数,{∈t}为随机误差.在允许误差方差无穷的重尾条件下,构造θ的自加权M-估计,并证明了该估计的渐近正态性.最后通过数值模拟,在随机误差服从某些重尾分布的条件下,说明自加权M-估计比最小二乘和L1估计更有效.

关 键 词:非线性自回归  自加权M-估计  重尾  渐近正态

Asymptotics for the Self-Weighted M-Estimation of Nonlinear Autoregressive Models with Heavy-Tailed Errors
Fu Keang,Ding Li,Li Junqiao.Asymptotics for the Self-Weighted M-Estimation of Nonlinear Autoregressive Models with Heavy-Tailed Errors[J].Acta Mathematica Scientia,2020(2):475-483.
Authors:Fu Keang  Ding Li  Li Junqiao
Institution:(School of Statistics and Mathematics,Zhejiang Gongshang University,Hangzhou 310018)
Abstract:Consider the nonlinear autoregressive model xt=f(xt-1,…,xt-p,θ)+∈t,whereθis the q-dimensional unknown parameter and∈t’s are random errors with possibly infinite variance.In this paper,the self-weighted M-estimator ofθis constructed,and the asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator is also established.Some simulation studies are also given to show that the self-weighted M-estimators have good performances with some heavy-tailed random errors.
Keywords:Nonlinear autoregression  Self-weighted M-estimator  Heavy tail  Asymptotic normality
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