J.-H. Lambert’s theory of probable syllogisms |
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| Authors: | Thierry Martin |
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| Institution: | Laboratoire des Logiques de l’agir, Université de Franche-Comté, Besançon and Institut d’Histoire et de Philosophie des Sciences et des Techniques, UMR 8590-CNRS/Univ. Paris I/ENS Ulm, 13 rue du four, 75006 Paris, France |
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| Abstract: | In his Neues Organon of 1764, the mathematician and astronomer Jean-Henri Lambert 12] developed a theory of probable syllogisms, with the aim of formally describing the probabilist reasoning and then applying it to the probability of testimony, thus imparting an epistemic sense to the concept of probability. In the present text, we propose to study the principles of this theory and the difficulties it raises. |
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| Keywords: | Probable syllogism Probability of testimony Lambert Epistemic probability |
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