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Option pricing when the regime-switching risk is priced
Authors:Tak Kuen Siu  Hailiang Yang
Institution:[1]Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Curtin University of Technology, Perth, W.A. 6845, Australia [2]Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science, the University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam Road, Hong Kong
Abstract:We study the pricing of an option when the price dynamic of the underlying risky asset is governed by a Markov-modulated geometric Brownian motion. We suppose that the drift and volatility of the underlying risky asset are modulated by an observable continuous-time, finite-state Markov chain. We develop a two-stage pricing model which can price both the diffusion risk and the regime-switching risk based on the Esscher transform and the minimization of the maximum entropy between an equivalent martingale measure and the real-world probability measure over different states. Numerical experiments are conducted and their results reveal that the impact of pricing regime-switching risk on the option prices is significant.
Keywords:Option valuation  regime-switching risk  two-stage pricing procedure  Esscher transform  martingale restriction  min-max entropy problem
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