| 模糊数学理论在水库长期径流预报中的应用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 张云鹏,朱本高.模糊数学理论在水库长期径流预报中的应用[J].模糊系统与数学,2002,16(3):74-80. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 张云鹏 朱本高 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 山东大学,山东,济南,250061 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 本文运用模糊数学的理论方法对汛期径流预报进行了探讨 ,即首先对汛期来水的理论实测资料 ,运用最大树法和软化分法进行了模糊聚类分析 ,得到汛期来水的多个预报模式 ;进而利用Gamma分布和模糊概率的方法 ,预报出汛期的来水流量及其实现的概率
|
| 关 键 词： | 模糊数学 径流预报 最大树法 软划分 聚类 样本 |
Application of Fuzzy Mathematics on the Flood Forecast |
| |
| Zhang Yun-peng,ZHU Ben-gao.Application of Fuzzy Mathematics on the Flood Forecast[J].Fuzzy Systems and Mathematics,2002,16(3):74-80. |
| |
| Authors: | Zhang Yun-peng ZHU Ben-gao |
| |
| Abstract: | The reservoir's long term runoff prediction during flood season be fuzzy mathematical method was studied in this paper.Firstly,by using maximal tree method and soft partition cluster method,the fuzzy cluster analysis was carried out against the observed data of each calendar year during flood season were also built. Then the discharges of coming water during flood season and their realizing probabilities were predicted by means of Gamma distribution and fuzzy probability method. General programs were written for the whole prediction procedure. |
| |
| Keywords: | Fuzzy Mathematical Runoff Prediction Maximal Tree Method Soft Partition Cluster Method Sample |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
