基于矩阵距离时序赋权的科学技术评价模型及应用

根据“坚持以人为本,树立全面、协调、可持续的发展观,促进经济社会和人的全面发展”的科学发展观内涵,构建了省级行政区的科学技术评价指标体系。通过在Topsis中引入矩阵距离对截面评价结果进行二次赋权,建立了基于矩阵距离时序赋权的科学技术评价模型。本文的特色与创新一是通过在Topsis中引入矩阵距离、对不同年份的综合评价结果进行客观赋权,反映了评价指标与理想状态偏离程度越小的年份、其综合评价结果赋权越大的思路。改变了现有研究人为主观确定不同时段评价结果权重的现状;改变了Topsis仅仅用于求解指标权重,无法对不同年份的综合评价结果进行赋权的现状。二是采用面板数据对典型省份的科技发展进行评价,反映评价对象历史信息对评价结果的影响。消除了流行的截面数据评价的偶然性。三是实证研究表明:山西、新疆、云南三省的科学技术发展落后的主要原因在于其三省万元GDP综合能耗过高、工业固体废物综合利用率过低。

The Science and Technology Evaluation Model Based on the Matrix Distance Sequence Weighting and Its Application

The Scientific Development View puts forward the basic principles: maintaining a balanced, and adhering to people-oriented and establishing a comprehensive, coordinated and sustainable development and promoting economic and social development. The comprehensive evaluating index system of science and technology is established, which is fit for province districts. This paper builds the evaluation model of science and technology based on the matrix distance sequence weighting by introducing matrix distance in Topsis on section two empowerment evaluation results. Its features and innovations are as follows. Firstly, it determines the objective weight of the comprehensive evaluation results in different years by means of introducing matrix distance in Topsis, and the empowering ideas that the smaller of the evaluating indicator with the ideal indicator, the greater of the weight, is reflected. Thus, the right time to change the existing evaluation results weights in the different periods are subjectivly determined, and to make up the existing Topsis weighting method can not solve the weight of the comprehensive evaluation results in different years. Secondly, the evaluation results of scientific and technological development reflect the effect of evaluation object’s historical information by means of panel data of province districts. It avoids the status that the evaluation results have contingency using cross-sectional data.Thirdly, the empirical result shows that the science and technology development of Shanxi, Xinjiang and Yunnan provinces has lagged behind, because their GDP comprehensive energy consumption every ten thousand Yuanis too high and their comprehensive utilization of industrial solid wastes are too low.