面向多部门多属性的群决策应急方案调整方法

针对具有多部门多属性的基于案例推理的应急方案生成问题,提出了一种新的群决策应急方案调整方法。首先,各部门根据关注的属性生成案例库,并应用检索方法得到最相似历史案例,再运用置信规则库进行应急方案调整来生成各部门应急方案;然后,各部门对每个部门生成的应急方案进行评价;在此基础上,根据各部门的评价信息确定权重,进而对各部门生成的应急方案进行集结得到目标案例的应急方案。最后,通过一个算例验证了所提出方法的可行性和有效性。

Group Emergency Alternative Adaptation Method Oriented Characteristic of Multi-department and Multi-attribute

In order to solve the problem of the emergency alternative generation based on case-based reasoning with the characteristic of multi-department and multi-attribute,a new emergency alternative adaptation method based on group decision making is proposed.Firstly,each department generates a case base according to the concerned attributes,and the most similar historical case is obtained according to the retrieval method.The emergency alternative for each department is generated through the emergency alternative adaptation using the belief rule-base.Next,each department evaluates the emergency alternatives.Furthermore,the department weights are determined according to the evaluation information,and the final emergency alternative is generated by integrating the emergency alternatives of the participating departments.Finally,an illustrative example is provided to demonstrate the feasibility and validity of the proposed method.