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Asymptotics of a Boundary Crossing Probability of a Brownian Bridge with General Trend
Authors:Bischoff  Wolfgang  Miller  Frank  Hashorva  Enkelejd  Hüsler  Jürg
Institution:(1) Institut für Mathematische Stochastik, University of Karlsruhe, Englerstr. 2, D-76128 Karlsruhe, Germany;(2) Institut für Mathematische Statistik und Versicherungslehre, University of Bern, Sidlerstr. 5, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland
Abstract:Let us consider a signal-plus-noise model gammah(z)+B 0(z), z isin 0,1], where gamma > 0, h: 0,1] rarr Ropf, and B 0 is a Brownian bridge. We establish the asymptotics for the boundary crossing probability of the weighted signal-plus-noise model for gammararrinfin, that is P (sup zepsi 0,1] w(z)(gamma h(z)+B 0(z))>c), for gammararrinfin, (1) where w: 0,1]rarr 0,infin is a weight function and c>0 is arbitrary. By the large deviation principle one gets a result with a constant which is the solution of a minimizing problem. In this paper we show an asymptotic expansion that is stronger than large deviation. As byproduct of our result we obtain the solution of the minimizing problem occurring in the large deviation expression. It is worth mentioning that the probability considered in (1) appears as power of the weighted Kolmogorov test applied to the test problem H 0: hequiv 0 against the alternative K: h>0 in the signal-plus-noise model.
Keywords:Brownian bridge with trend  boundary crossing probability  asymptotic results  large deviations  signal-plus-noise model  tests of Kolmogorov type
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