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A note on geometric ergodicity of autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) model
Authors:Zudi Lu
Institution:

Institute of Systems Science, Academia Sinica, Beijing 100080, People's Republic of China

Abstract:For the pth-order linear ARCH model,
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, where greek small letter alpha0 > 0, greek small letter alphai greater-or-equal, slanted 0, I = 1, 2, …, p, {var epsilont} is an i.i.d. normal white noise with Evar epsilont = 0, Evar epsilont2 = 1, and var epsilont is independent of {Xs, s < t}, Engle (1982) obtained the necessary and sufficient condition for the second-order stationarity, that is, greek small letter alpha1 + greek small letter alpha2 + ··· + greek small letter alphap < 1. In this note, we assume that var epsilont has the probability density function p(t) which is positive and lower-semicontinuous over the real line, but not necessarily Gaussian, then the geometric ergodicity of the ARCH(p) process is proved under Evar epsilont2 = 1. When var epsilont has only the first-order absolute moment, a sufficient condition for the geometric ergodicity is also given.
Keywords:Geometric ergodicity  Conditional heteroscedasticity  ARCH model  Nonlinear time series  Markov process
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