| 联系概率的由来及其在风险决策中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵森烽,赵克勤.联系概率的由来及其在风险决策中的应用[J].数学的实践与认识,2013,43(4):165-171. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵森烽 赵克勤 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 浙江工业大学之江学院理学系,浙江杭州,310024
2. 浙江大学非传统安全与和平发展研究中心集对分析研究所,浙江杭州310058;诸暨市联系数学研究所,浙江诸暨311811 |
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| 摘 要： | 观察一简单随机摸球实验:当盒子中只有白球时,事件A="任抽一球是白球"是必然事件;当盒子中有白球黑球时,事件A是随机事件,这一实验表明事件A的随机性是2个事物(白、黑球)相互联系的一种属性,借此实验说明概率用联系数表述的原理以及联系概率的来由,同时还介绍了引出联系概率时用到的一些新概念,举例说明联系概率在风险决策中的应用.
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| 关 键 词： | 白球 黑球 随机试验 联系概率 联系数 集对分析 风险决策 |
The Contact Probability in Risk Decision-Making Medium Application |
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| ZHAO Sen-feng
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ZHAO Ke-qin.The Contact Probability in Risk Decision-Making Medium Application[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2013,43(4):165-171. |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Sen-feng ZHAO Ke-qin |
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| Institution: | (2,3) (1.School of Zhi jiang,Zhejiang Technology University,Hangzhou,310024,China) (2.Zhuji Institute of Connection Mathematics,Zhuji 311811,China) (3.Center for Non-traditional Security and Peaceful Development Studies,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,China) |
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| Abstract: | Observation of a simple random touch ball experiment:When the box only white ball,event A=" allow to draw a ball is white ball" is a necessary event;there are white balls and the black balls in the box,event A is a random event,This experiment showed that event A randomness is one of 2things(white,black ) interconnected to a property,by this experiment indicates that the probability of using connection number representations of the principle as well as the contact probability,it also introduces the leading-out contact probability to use some new concept application with examples of contact probability in risk decision. |
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| Keywords: | white ball black ball random test contact probability(complex probability) connection number Set pair analysis risk decision |
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