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Estimation and Simulation of Autoregressive Hilbertian Processes with Exogenous Variables
Authors:Julien Damon  Serge Guillas
Institution:(1) Université Paris 6 (Pierre et Marie Curie) and Médiamétrie, France;(2) Université Paris 6 (Pierre et Marie Curie) and Ecole des mines de Douai, France
Abstract:We present the autoregressive Hilbertian with exogenous variables model (ARHX) which intends to take into account the dependence structure of random curves viewed as H-valued random variables, where H is a Hilbert space of functions, under the influence of explanatory variables. Limit theorems and consistent estimators are derived from an autoregressive representation. A simulation study illustrates the accuracy of the estimation by making a comparison on forecasts with other functional models.
Keywords:autoregressive processes  exogenous variables  functional data  forecasting  simulation  ARHX
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