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Trend of extreme precipitation events over China in last 40 years
作者姓名:章大全  封国林  胡经国
作者单位:College of Physics Science and Technology, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China;Laboratory for Climate Studies of China Meteorological Administration, National Climate Center, Beijing 100081, China;Laboratory for Climate Studies of China Meteorological Administration, National Climate Center, Beijing 100081,China;The Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China;College of Physics Science and Technology, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China
基金项目:Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No 40675044), the State Key Development Program for Basic Research of China (Grant No 2006CB400503), and the Laboratory for Climate Studies of China Meteorological Administration Climate Research Program (Grant No LCS-2006-04).
摘    要:Using the daily precipitation data of 740 stations in China from 1960 to 2000, the analysis on the variations and distributions of the frequency and the percentage of extreme precipitation to the annual rainfall have been performed in this paper. Results indicate that the percentage of heavy rains (above 25mm/day) in the annual rainfall has increased, while on average the day number of heavy rains has slightly reduced during the past 40 years. In the end of 1970s and the beginning of 1980s, both the number of days with extreme precipitation and the percentage of extreme precipitation abruptly changed over China, especially in the northern China. By moving t test, the abrupt change year of extreme precipitation for each station and its spatial distribution over the whole country are also obtained. The abrupt change years concentrated in 1978-1982 for most regions of northern China while occurred at various stations in southern China in greatly different/diverse years. Besides the abrupt change years of extreme precipitation at part stations of Northwest China happened about 5 years later in comparison with that of the country's average.

关 键 词:极端降雨事件  频率  急剧变化  大气物理学
收稿时间:2007-04-21
修稿时间:8/8/2007 12:00:00 AM

Trend of extreme precipitation events over China in last 40 years
Zhang Da-Quan,Feng Guo-Lin and Hu Jing-Guo.Trend of extreme precipitation events over China in last 40 years[J].Chinese Physics B,2008,17(2):736-742.
Authors:Zhang Da-Quan  Feng Guo-Lin and Hu Jing-Guo
Institution:[1]College of Physics Science and Technology, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China; [2]Laboratory for Climate Studies of China Meteorological Administration, National Climate Center, Beijing 100081, China; [3]The Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China
Abstract:Using the daily precipitation data of 740 stations in China from 1960 to 2000, the analysis on the variations and distributions of the frequency and the percentage of extreme precipitation to the annual rainfall have been performed in this paper. Results indicate that the percentage of heavy rains (above 25mm/day) in the annual rainfall has increased, while on average the day number of heavy rains has slightly reduced during the past 40 years. In the end of 1970s and the beginning of 1980s, both the number of days with extreme precipitation and the percentage of extreme precipitation abruptly changed over China, especially in the northern China. By moving t test, the abrupt change year of extreme precipitation for each station and its spatial distribution over the whole country are also obtained. The abrupt change years concentrated in 1978--1982 for most regions of northern China while occurred at various stations in southern China in greatly different/diverse years. Besides the abrupt change years of extreme precipitation at part stations of Northwest China happened about 5 years later in comparison with that of the country's average.
Keywords:extreme precipitation events  frequency  abrupt change  extreme events
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