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湖南省税收的误差修正模型(ECM)
引用本文:郭艳,王国富.湖南省税收的误差修正模型(ECM)[J].数学理论与应用,2009(2):82-86.
作者姓名:郭艳  王国富
作者单位:中南大学数学科学与计算技术学院,湖南长沙410083
摘    要:在计量经济学中,分析变量间增长率的关系,即它们之间的弹性系数,可以转移为分析变量对数之间的关系。本文将采用协整检验来研究湖南省税收收入对数与GDP对数之间的关系,从而分析税收增长与GDP增长的协调性。在协整分析的基础上,建立了湖南省税收收入的误差修正预测模型。

关 键 词:平稳性  协整检验  弹性系数  误差修正

The ECM About Tax Revenue in Hunan Province
Guo Yan Wang Guofu.The ECM About Tax Revenue in Hunan Province[J].Mathematical Theory and Applications,2009(2):82-86.
Authors:Guo Yan Wang Guofu
Institution:Mathematical Department;Central South University;Changsha;410083
Abstract:In econometric analysis of the relationship between the growth rate of variables,that is,their coefficient of elasticity,can be converted to analysis variables on the relationship between a few.This paper will be used to study the co-integration test on the number of tax revenue in Hunan Province with GDP logarithmic relationship between revenue growth and to analyze the coordinatioin of GDP growth.In Co-integration Analysis on the basis of the tax revenue in Hunan Province we set up the prediction model of...
Keywords:Stationarity Co-integration Test Elasticity coefficient Error correction  
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