| 可能性概念与可靠性分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 任平,招关仙.可能性概念与可靠性分析[J].模糊系统与数学,1995,9(2):11-15. |
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| 作者姓名： | 任平 招关仙 |
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| 作者单位： | 暨南大学，海南粮油贸易公司 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金,国务院侨办重点学科基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文讨论了可能性概念在大系统特别是人－机混合系统的可靠性分析的应用，依据Ｚａｄｅｈ的原始思想，人为差错率应该用可能性分析与概率分析来描述，前者描述差错的潜在可能性而后者描述差错发生的实际可能性。这一点，在大型灾害性事故的分析中具有特殊重要意义。
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| 关 键 词： | 可能性 概率 可靠性 大系统 模糊可靠性 故障树 |
The Role of Possiblity Theory in Rdiahlity Analysis |
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| Ren Ping Zhao Guanxian.The Role of Possiblity Theory in Rdiahlity Analysis[J].Fuzzy Systems and Mathematics,1995,9(2):11-15. |
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| Authors: | Ren Ping Zhao Guanxian |
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| Abstract: | This paper discussed the role of possibility theory in quantitative approach to relia-bility of large-scale system,especially man-machine system, According the original ideadue to Prof.L.A. Zadeh,an errot rate may be associated both with a possibility distribu-tion and probability distribution. One described the potentiality for error,and the otherregarded as actuality for error. This is particularly important for analysis of big acci-dent. |
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| Keywords: | Possibility Probability Reliability analysis Fault trees |
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