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非线性贝叶斯动态模型的重要性再抽样(英文)
引用本文:苏兵,高理峰.非线性贝叶斯动态模型的重要性再抽样(英文)[J].数学杂志,2012,32(2):206-210.
作者姓名:苏兵  高理峰
作者单位:临沂大学理学院,山东临沂,276005
基金项目:Supported by the Humanities and Social Science Fund of the Ministry of Education (10YAJ720035)
摘    要:本文研究了非线性贝叶斯动态模型的随机模拟.在更宽泛的先验分布假设下.利用重要性再抽样的方法,以"样本"代替"分布",实现了对模型的后验推断、预测和模型选择,扩张了贝叶斯动态模型的应用领域.

关 键 词:动态模型  重要性再抽样  后验推断  贝叶斯因子

SAMPLING IMPORTANCE RE-SAMPLING FOR NONLINEAR BAYESIAN DYNAMIC MODELS
SU Bing , GAO Li-fengc.SAMPLING IMPORTANCE RE-SAMPLING FOR NONLINEAR BAYESIAN DYNAMIC MODELS[J].Journal of Mathematics,2012,32(2):206-210.
Authors:SU Bing  GAO Li-fengc
Institution:(School of Science,Linyi University,Linyi 276005,China)
Abstract:In this paper,the random simulation of Bayesian dynamic models(BDMs) is investigated.With wider assumptions for prior distribution,we exert the sampling importance re-sampling(SIR) to yield all samples instead of original distributions that can make the posterior inferences,the observation predictions,and the model selection.Based on our method,BDMS can be used in more fields.
Keywords:dynamic models  sampling importance re-sampling  posterior inference  Bayes factor
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