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Likelihood Inferences for High-Dimensional Factor Analysis of Time Series With Applications in Finance
Authors:Chi Tim Ng  Chun Yip Yau  Ngai Hang Chan
Abstract:This article investigates likelihood inferences for high-dimensional factor analysis of time series data. We develop a matrix decomposition technique to obtain expressions of the likelihood functions and its derivatives. With such expressions, the traditional delta method that relies heavily on score function and Hessian matrix can be extended to high-dimensional cases. We establish asymptotic theories, including consistency and asymptotic normality. Moreover, fast computational algorithms are developed for estimation. Applications to high-dimensional stock price data and portfolio analysis are discussed. The technical proofs of the asymptotic results and the computer codes are available online.
Keywords:Arbitrage pricing theory  Factor loadings  Factors  Maximum likelihood estimation  Newton method  State-space model
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