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| 分形整合过程在经济预测中的应用 | |
| 引用本文： | 邹新月,张天平. 分形整合过程在经济预测中的应用[J]. 数学的实践与认识, 2002, 32(3): 400-404 |
| 作者姓名： | 邹新月 张天平 |
| 作者单位： | 湘潭工学院经管系,湖南,湘潭,411201 |
| 摘 要： | 首先采用一个分形整合模型——误差逗留模型 (Error-Duration Model)仔细推导了分形时间序列过程的性质 ,特别是序列自相关系数的性质 ,表明分形整合过程与常规的时间序列分析工具有很大的不同 ;然后以一个实际的时间序列为例 ,说明了分形整合过程在经济预测中的应用比传统的分析工具有较好的预测精度 |
| 关 键 词： | 分形 分形整合 误差逗留模型 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002-01-29 |
The Distribution-Conformity Procedure for the Appliance to Economy Forecast |
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| ZOU Xin|yue,ZHANG Tian|ping. The Distribution-Conformity Procedure for the Appliance to Economy Forecast[J]. Mathematics in Practice and Theory, 2002, 32(3): 400-404 | |
| Authors: | ZOU Xin|yue ZHANG Tian|ping |
| Abstract: | This article uses a model, Error|Duration Model, to infer the characters of time|sequence|procedure, especially the characters of the sequence′s self|relevant coefficient, and indicates the procedure has large difference with regular time|sequence analysis tools. The article also give an example of a real time|sequence to explain that procedure has the better accuracy than the traditional analysis tools in economic forecasting. |
| Keywords: | distribution distribution|conformity error|duration model |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |