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Duopolistic competition under risk aversion and uncertainty
Authors:Michail Chronopoulos  Bert De Reyck  Afzal Siddiqui
Affiliation:1. Department of Business and Management Science, Norwegian School of Economics, Bergen, Norway;2. Department of Management Science and Innovation, University College London, London, UK;3. Department of Statistical Science, University College London, London, UK;4. Department of Computer and Systems Sciences, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden
Abstract:
A monopolist typically defers entry into an industry as both price uncertainty and the level of risk aversion increase. By contrast, the presence of a rival typically hastens entry under risk neutrality. Here, we examine these two opposing effects in a duopoly setting. We demonstrate that the value of a firm and its entry decision behave differently with risk aversion and uncertainty depending on the type of competition. Interestingly, if the leader’s role is defined endogenously, then higher uncertainty makes her relatively better off, whereas with the roles exogenously defined, the impact of uncertainty is ambiguous.
Keywords:Investment analysis   Real options   Competition   Risk aversion
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