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主从递阶多目标风险决策模型构建及算法研究
引用本文:王海政,仝允桓.主从递阶多目标风险决策模型构建及算法研究[J].运筹与管理,2007,16(1):1-8.
作者姓名:王海政  仝允桓
作者单位:清华大学,经济管理学院,北京,100084
摘    要:针对一类表现出主从递阶、多目标、风险决策等特点决策问题,文献回顾指出目前问题是缺乏一体化集成研究。为了研究该类问题,首先构建了主从递阶多目标风险决策模型。引入模糊随机模拟、多目标满意度计算、主从递阶博弈、基于粒子群算法的演化博弈求解技术,建立了具有逻辑关系的算法体系。案例研究表明算法是可行的,可为同类问题研究提供算法。

关 键 词:主从递阶决策  多目标决策  风险决策  演化博弈  模糊随机模拟  粒子群算法
文章编号:23926887
修稿时间:07 8 2006 12:00AM

Algorithm Study on Models of Multiple Objective Risk Decision under Principal and Subordinate Hierarch Decision-making
WANG Hai-zheng,TONG Yun-huan.Algorithm Study on Models of Multiple Objective Risk Decision under Principal and Subordinate Hierarch Decision-making[J].Operations Research and Management Science,2007,16(1):1-8.
Authors:WANG Hai-zheng  TONG Yun-huan
Institution:School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
Abstract:None of the articles have ever addressed a decisionmaking problem with the characteristics of principal and subordinate hierarch decision,multi-objective decision,and risk decision to be simultaneously solved before. For the purpose of filling this vacancy,this paper constructs multiple objective risk decision models with principal and subordinate hierarch decision-making by fuzzy stochastic simulation technology,the multi-objective degree of satisfaction computation,principal and subordinate hierarch game decision method,and evolutionary game solution technology with particle swarm algorithm.The result is convincible after a case study.
Keywords:principal and subordinate hierarch decision-making  multiple objective decision  risk decision  evolutionary game  fuzzy and stochastic simulation  particle swarm algorithm
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