| 油价波动对国民经济影响模型构建与应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 高建,董秀成.油价波动对国民经济影响模型构建与应用[J].数学的实践与认识,2006,36(12):61-67. |
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| 作者姓名： | 高建 董秀成 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国石油大学工商管理学院,北京,102249 |
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| 摘 要： | 为了科学构建原油价格波动与国民经济发展的关系,在借鉴国内外专家学者相关模型基础上,考虑不同国民经济指标对油价波动的时滞反馈等因素,构建油价波动对国民经济影响模型.利用原油价格波动对国民经济发展的动态模型,对模型的各部分关系系数进行确定,最后根据所得到的模型对国民经济影响进行实际分析与预测,并得出规避油价波动影响风险的措施.
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| 关 键 词： | 原油价格 经济增长 模型 经济安全 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年5月7日 |
The Model of the Impact of Oil Price on Growth in China and Its Application |
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| GAO Jian,DONG Xiu-cheng.The Model of the Impact of Oil Price on Growth in China and Its Application[J].Mathematics in Practice and Theory,2006,36(12):61-67. |
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| Authors: | GAO Jian DONG Xiu-cheng |
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| Abstract: | Anglicizing based on test according to the real annual data from 1993 to 2005,this paper measure the impact of oil price on growth in china,and an econometric model is constructed for the impact based on analyzing correlative model researchers.In the end utilizing the model and conclusions were drawn for the oil price impacting GDP in china.The result indicates that there is long-term strong impact among GDP and oil price. |
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| Keywords: | oil price economic growth model Economic security |
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