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Identifiability of intermediate variables on causal paths
Authors:Wanlu DENG  Zhi GENG  Peng LUO
Institution:School of Mathematical Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China
Abstract:We discuss the discovery of causal mechanisms and identifiability of intermediate variables on a causal path. Different from variable selection, we try to distinguish intermediate variables on the causal path from other variables. It is also different from ordinary model selection approaches which do not concern the causal relationships and do not contain unobserved variables. We propose an approach for selecting a causal mechanism depicted by a directed acyclic graph (DAG) with an unobserved variable. We consider several causal networks, and discuss their identifiability by observed data. We show that causal mechanisms of linear structural equation models are not identifiable. Furthermore, we present that causal mechanisms of nonlinear models are identifiable, and we demonstrate the identifiability of causal mechanisms of quadratic equation models. Sensitivity analysis is conducted for the identifiability.
Keywords:Causal network  directed acyclic graph (DAG)  identifiability  intermediate variable  structural equation model
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