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DURATION OF NEGATIVE SURPLUS FOR A TWO STATE MARKOV-MODULATED RISK MODEL
Authors:Ma Xuemin  Yuan Haili  Hu Yijun
Institution:School of Mathematics and Statistics, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
Abstract:We consider a continuous time risk model based on a two state Markov process, in which after an exponentially distributed time, the claim frequency changes to a different level and can change back again in the same way. We derive the Laplace transform for the first passage time to surplus zero from a given negative surplus and for the duration of negative surplus. Closed-form expressions are given in the case of exponential individual claim. Finally, numerical results are provided to show how to estimate the moments of duration of negative surplus.
Keywords:Homogeneous Markov process  ruin probability  deficit  duration of negative surplus  compound Poisson risk model
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