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Large deviations of infinite intersections of events in Gaussian processes
Authors:Michel Mandjes  Petteri Mannersalo  Ilkka Norros  Miranda van Uitert
Institution:1. CWI Centre for Mathematics and Computer Science, P.O. Box 94079, NL-1090 GB Amsterdam, The Netherlands;2. VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, P.O. Box 1000, FI-02044 VTT, Finland
Abstract:Consider events of the form {Zs≥ζ(s),s∈S}{Zsζ(s),sS}, where ZZ is a continuous Gaussian process with stationary increments, ζζ is a function that belongs to the reproducing kernel Hilbert space RR of process ZZ, and S⊂RSR is compact. The main problem considered in this paper is identifying the function β∈RβR satisfying β(s)≥ζ(s)β(s)ζ(s) on SS and having minimal RR-norm. The smoothness (mean square differentiability) of ZZ turns out to have a crucial impact on the structure of the solution. As examples, we obtain the explicit solutions when ζ(s)=sζ(s)=s for s∈0,1]s0,1] and ZZ is either a fractional Brownian motion or an integrated Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process.
Keywords:60G15  60K25  60F10
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