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DNA methylation-based age prediction with bloodstains using pyrosequencing and random forest regression
Authors:Fenglong Yang  Jialin Qian  Hongzhu Qu  Zhimin Ji  Junli Li  Wenjing Hu  Feng Cheng  Xiangdong Fang  Jiangwei Yan
Institution:1. School of Forensic Medicine, Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi, P. R. China;2. Beijing Center for Physical and Chemical Analysis, Beijing, P. R. China

Fenglong Yang, Jialin Qian, and Hongzhu Qu contributed equally to this work.;3. CAS Key Laboratory of Genome Sciences and Information, Beijing Institute of Genomics, Chinese Academy of Sciences/China National Center for Bioinformation, Beijing, P. R. China

Fenglong Yang, Jialin Qian, and Hongzhu Qu contributed equally to this work.;4. CAS Key Laboratory of Genome Sciences and Information, Beijing Institute of Genomics, Chinese Academy of Sciences/China National Center for Bioinformation, Beijing, P. R. China

Abstract:The use of DNA methylation to predict chronological age has shown promising potential for obtaining additional information in forensic investigations. To date, several studies have reported age prediction models based on DNA methylation in body fluids with high DNA content. However, it is often difficult to apply these existing methods in practice due to the low amount of DNA present in stains of body fluids that are part of a trace material. In this study, we present a sensitive and rapid test for age prediction with bloodstains based on pyrosequencing and random forest regression. This assay requires only 0.1 ng of genomic DNA and the entire procedure can be completed within 10 h, making it practical for forensic investigations that require a short turnaround time. We examined the methylation levels of 46 CpG sites from six genes using bloodstain samples from 128 males and 113 females aged 10–79 years. A random forest regression model was then used to construct an age prediction model for males and females separately. The final age prediction models were developed with seven CpG sites (three for males and four for females) based on the performance of the random forest regression. The mean absolute deviation was less than 3 years for each model. Our results demonstrate that DNA methylation-based age prediction using pyrosequencing and random forest regression has potential applications in forensics to accurately predict the biological age of a bloodstain donor.
Keywords:age prediction  bloodstain  DNA methylation  pyrosequencing  random forest regression
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