Variability of scaling parameters in non-conservative systems: Geophysical aspect

Newly obtained data on the critical dynamics of the drifting/fracturing sea ice in the Arctic Ocean were analyzed and compared with published data on the dynamic processes in the Earth’s crust. Substantial similarities were found in the scaling behavior of both geophysical systems; the most important of them is the b-value space/time variability including a pre-failure drop of this parameter. The b-value pattern of the ensemble of drifting ice floes is an analogue of the b-value distribution over areas and depths in tectonic structures. A common feature of the pre-failure state in the cryosphere and in the Earth’s crust is the increased degree of the energy conservation that manifests itself both in the sea ice consolidation prior to basin-wide ice pack fragmentations, and in involving harder geological formations in the fracture process before earthquakes, respectively. From the viewpoint of the conservative SOC concept, this relation between the system’s conservativity and the occurrence of large-scale fracture events means that the expected scale level of failure is determined by the system’s closeness to “true” SOC behavior.