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集成DEMATEL/ISM的复杂系统安全事故致因因素分析
引用本文:杜纯,王瑛,汪送,管明露. 集成DEMATEL/ISM的复杂系统安全事故致因因素分析[J]. 数学的实践与认识, 2012, 42(22): 143-150
作者姓名:杜纯  王瑛  汪送  管明露
作者单位:1. 空军工程大学工程学院,陕西西安,710038
2. 空军工程大学工程学院,陕西西安710038;武警工程大学装备工程学院,陕西西安710086
摘    要:致因因素间复杂的非线性交互作用是造成复杂系统安全事故成因复杂性的主要原因.在提取出复杂系统安全事故的致因因素后,给出了集成DEMATEL/ISM方法分析事故致因因素的算法步骤.基于航空复杂系统实例,采用集成DEMA-TEL/ISM方法求得了致因因素间的综合影响关系、关键致因因素及致因因素多级递阶结构模型,通过复杂网络理论分析节点度,度数大的节点与关键致因因素吻合.所提方法可以用于提取事故关键致因因素和分析因素间的层次关系.

关 键 词:复杂系统  安全事故  集成DEMATEL/ISM方法  递阶结构模型  复杂网络

Analysis of Safety Accident Influence Factors of Complex System Based on the Integration of DEMATEL and ISM
DU Chun , WANG Ying , WANG Song , GUAN Ming-lu. Analysis of Safety Accident Influence Factors of Complex System Based on the Integration of DEMATEL and ISM[J]. Mathematics in Practice and Theory, 2012, 42(22): 143-150
Authors:DU Chun    WANG Ying    WANG Song    GUAN Ming-lu
Affiliation:1 (1.The Engineering Institute,Air Force Engineering University,Xi’an 710038,China) (2.The Equipment Engineering,Engineering University of Armed Police Force of China,Xi’an 710086,China)
Abstract:The complex non-linear interactive action between causation factors is the main cause of the causation complexity of complex system safety accident.After distilling the causation factors of complex system safety accident,offered the arithmetic steps of integration of DEMATEL and ISM.Based on the example of aviation complex system,used the integration of DEMATEL and ISM method gained the compositive influence relationship between causation factors,key causation factors and multi-level step-up structural model,analyzed the degree of node by complex network theory,and the high degree node matched well with the key causation factors.The proposed method can be used to find the accident key causation factors and analysis the hiberarchy of causation factors.
Keywords:complex system  safety accident  integration of DEMATEL and ISM  step-up structural model  complex network
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