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Some aspects of extreme value statistics under serial dependence
Authors:Holger Drees
Institution:(1) Department of Mathematics, University of Hamburg, Bundesstr. 55, 20146 Hamburg, Germany
Abstract:On the occasion of Laurens de Haan’s 70th birthday, we discuss two aspects of the statistical inference on the extreme value behavior of time series with a particular emphasis on his important contributions. First, the performance of a direct marginal tail analysis is compared with that of a model-based approach using an analysis of residuals. Second, the importance of the extremal index as a measure of the serial extremal dependence is discussed by the example of solutions of a stochastic recurrence equation.
Keywords:Extremal index  Extreme quantile  Extreme value index  Linear time series  Mixing condition  Model deviation  Robustness  Tail analysis
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