| 基于MYCIN不确定因子的区间灰数应急决策方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 蒋风光,李鹏,陈立文.基于MYCIN不确定因子的区间灰数应急决策方法[J].运筹与管理,2015,24(4):30-35. |
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| 作者姓名： | 蒋风光 李鹏 陈立文 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.河北工业大学 经济管理学院,天津 300401;2.江苏科技大学 经济管理学院,江苏 镇江 212003;3.天津职业大学 经济管理学院,天津 300410 |
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| 基金项目： | 河北省高等学校自然科学青年基金项目(2011111) |
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| 摘 要： | 主要研究了方案的指标值为区间灰数的快速应急决策方法。将MYCIN不确定因子融合到灰色决策理论中,通过计算各方案在不同指标下的MYCIN不确定因子并对其进行融合,确定最佳决策方案。建立了基于证据推理的应急决策方法,给出了区间灰数决策方法步骤;通过案例分析结果验证了所提方法的有效性。
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| 关 键 词： | 区间灰数 MYCIN不确定因子 数据融合 应急决策 |
| 收稿时间： | 2013-05-16 |
Interval Grey Numbers Emergency Decision-making Methods Based on MYCIN Uncertainty Factor |
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| JIANG Feng-guang,LI Peng,CHEN Li-wen.Interval Grey Numbers Emergency Decision-making Methods Based on MYCIN Uncertainty Factor[J].Operations Research and Management Science,2015,24(4):30-35. |
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| Authors: | JIANG Feng-guang LI Peng CHEN Li-wen |
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| Institution: | 1.College of Economics & Management, Hebei University of Technology, Tianjin 300401, China;2.College of Economics & Management, Jiangsu University of Science and Technology, Zhenjiang 212003, China;3.College of Economics & Management, Tianjin Vocational Institute, Tianjin 300410, China |
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| Abstract: | This paper focuses mainly on emergency decision-making problems when attribute values of corresponding alternatives are interval grey numbers. The MYCIN certainty factor is integrated into grey decision-making theory. By computing the certainty factor of all alternatives in different indices and fusion of them, the best alternative is obtained. Emergency decision-making method based on evidence reasoning is established and the procedure of interval grey numbers decision-making is presented. Finally,an example is given to illustrate the efficiency of the approach proposed in this paper. |
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| Keywords: | interval grey numbers MYCIN certainty factor data fusion emergency decision-making |
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