| 直觉在概率求解过程中的误导 |
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| 引用本文： | 黎森,柏汇松,王闯.直觉在概率求解过程中的误导[J].数学学习,2010,13(4):125-127. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黎森 柏汇松 王闯 |
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| 作者单位： | 军事经济学院襄樊分院基础部,湖北襄樊441118 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过对警察找醉汉问题和MontyHall问题的具体分析说明：在求某个事件的概率时，如果不经过认真分析。常常会被直觉误导，同时说明了概率论原理在概率求解过程中的重要性．
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| 关 键 词： | 直觉 概率 Monty Hall问题 |
The Intuition Misleading in Probability Evaluating |
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| LI Sen,BAI Hui Song,WANG Chuang.The Intuition Misleading in Probability Evaluating[J].Studies In College Mathematics,2010,13(4):125-127. |
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| Authors: | LI Sen BAI Hui Song WANG Chuang |
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| Institution: | (Military Economy Academy Xiangfan College, Hubei, Xiangfan, 441118, PRC) |
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| Abstract: | The famouse problem of Monty Hall and an interesting problem of ＂policemen after a drunkard＂ is introduced briefly and analyzed case by case. from which, one may learn to avoid being misled by his intuition while evaluating a probability. |
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| Keywords: | intuition probability the Monty Hall problem |
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