| 北京市工业经济宏观监测预警系统中的数理统计方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 项静恬,韩立岩.北京市工业经济宏观监测预警系统中的数理统计方法[J].数理统计与管理,1993,12(3):1-15. |
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| 作者姓名： | 项静恬 韩立岩 |
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| 作者单位： | Xiang Jingtian，Han Liyan，Lin Yin Wangjun，Zhang Zhuowei，Xia Qinfang |
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| 摘 要： | 本文介绍了门限自回归模型及调控模拟分析在建立北京市工业经济宏观监测预警系统中的成功应用，并对用Ｋ－Ｌ信息量判别指标分类的局限性进行了分析讨论，最后对宏观经济周期规律进行了频谱分析。
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| 关 键 词： | 门限自回归模型 调控模拟分析 宏观监测 预警 评价 K-L信息量 窗谱估计 频谱分析 |
The Mathematical Methods Used in the Macro-system of Monitoring and Warning on the Beijing's Industrial Economy |
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| Xiang Jingtian,Han Liyan,Lin Yin Wangjun,Zhang Zhuowei,Xia Qinfang.The Mathematical Methods Used in the Macro-system of Monitoring and Warning on the Beijing''''s Industrial Economy[J].Application of Statistics and Management,1993,12(3):1-15. |
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| Authors: | Xiang Jingtian Han Liyan Lin Yin Wangjun Zhang Zhuowei Xia Qinfang |
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| Abstract: | This paper presents the successful application of the threshold autoregression models and the regulating and simulating analysis to establishing the macro-system of monitoring and warning on the Beijing's industrial economy. And then analyses and disscusses the limitation of using K-L information quantities in the classification of identification indexes. Finally the frequency and spectrum analysis to the business cycle is given. |
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| Keywords: | threshold autoregression models frequency and spectrum analysis estimation of spectral windows K-L information quantities |
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