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The maximal variation of a bounded martingale
Authors:Jean-Francois Mertens  Shmuel Zamir
Institution:1. Université Catholique de Louvain, Louvain, Belgium
2. The Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Jerusalem, Israel
Abstract:Let \(\chi _0^n = \left\{ {X_t } \right\}_0^n \) be a martingale such that 0≦Xi≦1;i=0, …,n. For 0≦p≦1 denote by ? p n the set of all such martingales satisfying alsoE(X0)=p. Thevariation of a martingale χ 0 n is denoted byV 0 n and defined by \(V(\chi _0^n ) = E\left( {\sum {_{l = 0}^{n - 1} } \left| {X_{l + 1} - X_l } \right|} \right)\) . It is proved that $$\mathop {\lim }\limits_{n \to \infty } \left\{ {\mathop {Sup}\limits_{x_0^n \in \mathcal{M}_p^n } \left {\frac{1}{{\sqrt n }}V(\chi _0^n )} \right]} \right\} = \phi (p)$$ , where ?(p) is the well known normal density evaluated at itsp-quantile, i.e. $$\phi (p) = \frac{1}{{\sqrt {2\pi } }}\exp ( - \frac{1}{2}\chi _p^2 ) where \int_{ - \alpha }^{x_p } {\frac{1}{{\sqrt {2\pi } }}\exp ( - \frac{1}{2}\chi ^2 )} dx = p$$ . A sequence of martingales χ 0 n ,n=1,2, … is constructed so as to satisfy \(\lim _{n \to \infty } (1/\sqrt n )V(\chi _0^n ) = \phi (p)\) .
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