Some Theory and an Approach to Solving Sequential Multiple-Criteria Decision Problems |
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Authors: | Pekka Korhonen Jyrki Wallenius |
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Institution: | 1.Helsinki School of Economics,Finland;2.Arizona State University and University of Jyv?skyl?,Finland |
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Abstract: | This paper examines a sequential multiple-criteria decision problem. The problem arises when a decision-maker is unable to consider all possible decision alternatives simultaneously. The decision-maker evaluates only a subset of all decision alternatives, from which he chooses the most preferred solution. Obviously, this solution is not necessarily ‘globally’ best. An interesting question is: how good is the most preferred solution and what are the chances of finding a better solution by considering additional alternatives? A unified approach to solving this problem based on probability theory is presented and illustrated with numerical examples. |
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