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PIGS,PARTIES, AND NOISE: HOW STOCHASTICITY IMPACTS THE ROBUSTNESS OF THE TSEMBAGA CULTURAL PRACTICES
Authors:BRUCE ROGERS  DAVID MURILLO
Affiliation:1. Department of Mathematics, Duke University, Postdoctoral Fellow, Statistical and Applied Mathematical Sciences Institute, P.O. Box 90320, Durham, NC 27708‐0320
E‐mail: bruce@math.duke.edu;2. School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, P.O. Box 871904, Tempe, AZ 85287‐1904
E‐mail: David.Murillo@asu.edu
Abstract:Abstract We present a probabilistic perspective on sustainable resource usage. A mathematical model is introduced to describe the interplay between a population and its renewable resource base. The amount of effort a society chooses to exert in harvesting its resource is formalized in the model. Using an indigenous population of slash and burn farmers as a case study, we derive a system of stochastic differential equations from a system of ordinary differential equations introduced by another author. The cultural mechanisms that help to stabilize the population in the deterministic system actually decrease the expected survival time in the stochastic system.
Keywords:Mathematical model  population dynamics  resource governance  stochasticity  cultural cycles  sustainability
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