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Robust Bayesian prediction and estimation under a squared log error loss function
Authors:A. Kiapour  N. Nematollahi
Affiliation:
  • a Department of Statistics, Science and Research Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran
  • b Department of Statistics, Allameh Tabataba’i University, Tehran, Iran
  • Abstract:Robust Bayesian analysis is concerned with the problem of making decisions about some future observation or an unknown parameter, when the prior distribution belongs to a class Γ instead of being specified exactly. In this paper, the problem of robust Bayesian prediction and estimation under a squared log error loss function is considered. We find the posterior regret Γ-minimax predictor and estimator in a general class of distributions. Furthermore, we construct the conditional Γ-minimax, most stable and least sensitive prediction and estimation in a gamma model. A prequential analysis is carried out by using a simulation study to compare these predictors.
    Keywords:62C10   62F10   62F15   62M20
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