Development of an energy-emission model using fuzzy sets

In searching for cost-efficient strategies to reduce emissions from energy conversion, most western countries use energy-emission models. In these models, the whole energy conversion chain and possible future options for energy supply and emission reduction are mapped into a network of energy flows. Total discounted cost of energy supply and emission reduction is minimized under the restriction of maximum allowed emissions of SO₂, NO_x, or CO₂. The present paper extends one of these models to allow for fuzzy parameters. Such an extension appears to be useful when the data situation is weak. In this paper, a fuzzy linear program is developed, which has been applied to an energy-emission model of Lithuania.