Asymptotic distributions of regression and autoregression coefficients with martingale difference disturbances

In this paper a form of the Lindeberg condition appropriate for martingale differences is used to obtain asymptotic normality of statistics for regression and autoregression. The regression model is y_t = Bz_t + v_t. The unobserved error sequence {v_t} is a sequence of martingale differences with conditional covariance matrices {Σ_t} and satisfying sup_{t=1,…, n} {v′_tv_tI(v′_tv_t>a) |z_t, v_t−1, z_t−1, …} 0 as a → ∞. The sample covariance of the independent variables z₁, …, z_n, is assumed to have a probability limit M, constant and nonsingular; max_t=1,…,nz′_tz_t/n 0. If (1/n)Σ_t=1ⁿΣ_t Σ, constant, then √nvec( _n−B) N(0,M⁻¹Σ) and _n Σ. The autoregression model is x_t = Bx_{t − 1} + v_t with the maximum absolute value of the characteristic roots of B less than one, the above conditions on {v_t}, and (1/n)Σ_t=max(r,s)+1(Σ_tv_t−1−rv′_t−1−s) δ_rs(ΣΣ), where δ_rs is the Kronecker delta. Then √nvec( _n−B) N(0,Γ⁻¹Σ), where Γ = Σ_{s = 0}^∞B^sΣ(B′)^s.