A martingale approach for detecting the drift of a Wiener process |
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Authors: | Volkert Paulsen |
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Affiliation: | Mathematisches Seminar, Universität Kiel, D-24098 Kiel, Germany |
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Abstract: | Lerchez (Ann. Statist. 14, 1986b, 1030–1048) considered a sequential Bayes-test problem for the drift of the Wiener process. In the case of a normal prior an o(c)-optimal test could be constructed. In this paper a new martingale approach is presented, which provides an expansion of the Bayes risk for a one-sided SPRT. Relations to the optimal Bayes risk are given, which show the o(c)-optimality for suitable nonnormal priors. |
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Keywords: | Sequential probability ratio test Bayes test Optimal stopping Boundary crossing Stochastic integral Density process Wiener process |
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